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<channel>
 <title>Nafeez Ahmed | ukwatch.net</title>
 <link>http://www.ukwatch.net/author/nafeez_ahmed</link>
 <description>Recent articles by watch area on ukwatch.net</description>
 <language>en</language>
<item>
 <title>Ex-UK Army Chief Confirms Peak Oil Motive for War</title>
 <link>http://www.ukwatch.net/article/exuk_army_chief_confirms_peak_oil_motive_for_war</link>
 <description>&lt;p&gt;
Brigadier-General James Ellery &lt;span class=&quot;caps&quot;&gt;CBE&lt;/span&gt;, the Foreign Office’s Senior Adviser to the Coalition Provisional Authority in Baghdad since 2003, confirmed the critical role of Iraqi oil reserves in potentially alleviating a “world shortage” of conventional oil. The Iraq War has helped to head off what Brigadier Ellery described as “the tide of Easternisation” – a shift in global political and economic power toward China and India, to whom goes “two thirds of the Middle East’s oil.”&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;After the 2004 transfer of authority to an interim Iraqi civilian administration, Brigadier Ellery set up and ran the 700-strong security framework operation in support of the US-funded Reconstruction of Iraq. His remarks were made as part of a presentation at the School of Oriental &amp;amp; African Studies (&lt;span class=&quot;caps&quot;&gt;SOAS&lt;/span&gt;), University of London, sponsored by the Iraqi Youth Foundation, on 22nd April.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;World Oil Shortage&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;“The reason that oil reached $117 a barrel last week”, he said, “was less to do with security of supply… than World shortage.” He went on to emphasise the strategic significance of Iraqi petroleum fields in relation to the danger of production peaks being breached in major oil reserves around the world. “Russia’s production has peaked at 10 million barrels per day; Africa has proved slow to yield affordable extra supplies – from Sudan and Angola for example. Thus the only near-term potential increase will be from Iraq,” he said. Whether Iraq began “favouring East or West” could therefore be “de-stabilizing” not only “within the region but to nations far beyond which have an interest.”&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Last month geological surveys and seismic data compiled by several international oil companies exploring Iraqi oil reserves showed that Iraq has the world’s largest proven oil reserves, with as much as 350 billion barrels, significantly exceeding Saudi Arabia’s 264 billion barrels, according to a report in the London Times. Former Bush administration energy adviser Matthew Simmons, author of the book Twilight in the Desert, says that Saudi oil production has probably already peaked, with production rates declining consecutively each year. This month the UK Treasury Department warned of the danger of an oil supply crunch by 2015, due to rocketing demand from China and India.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;The Threat of Easternisation&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Brigadier Ellery’s career in the British Army has involved stints in the Middle East, Africa, Bosnia, Germany and Northern Ireland. “Iraq holds the key to stability in the region,” he said, “unless that is you believe the tide of ‘Easternisation’ is such that the &lt;span class=&quot;caps&quot;&gt;USA&lt;/span&gt; and the West are in such decline, relative to the emerging China and India, that it is the East – not the West – which is more likely to guarantee stability. Incidentally, I do not.” Iraq’s pivotal importance in the Middle East, he explained, is because of its “relatively large, consuming population” at 24 million, its being home to “the second largest reserve of oil – under exploited”, and finally its geostrategic location “on the routes between Asia, Europe, Arabia and North Africa &amp;#8211; hence the Silk Road.”&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Oil production peaks when a given petroleum reserve is depleted by half, after which oil is geophysically increasingly difficult to extract, causing production to plateau, and then steadily decline. US oil production peaked by 1970, while British production in the North Sea peaked by 2000, converting both countries from exporters into net importers of oil and gas.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Oil industry experts and petroleum geologists increasingly believe that world oil production is precariously close to peaking. According to an October 2007 report by the German-based Energy Watch Group, run by an international network of European politicians and scientists, world oil production peaked in 2006. According to BP’s annual statistical review of world energy supply and demand for 2008, released on 11th June, world oil production fell last year for the first time since 2002, by 130,000 barrels per day last year to 81.53 million. Yet world consumption continued to rise by 1.1 per cent to 85.22 million barrels per day, outweighing production by nearly 5 per cent.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Iraqi Reconstruction Corruption Whitewash&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Brigadier-General James Ellery is currently Director of Operations at &lt;span class=&quot;caps&quot;&gt;AEGIS&lt;/span&gt; Defence Services Ltd., a private British security firm and US defence contractor since June 2004. In April this year, the same month as Ellery’s &lt;span class=&quot;caps&quot;&gt;SOAS&lt;/span&gt; lecture, &lt;span class=&quot;caps&quot;&gt;AEGIS&lt;/span&gt; won the renewal of its US defence department (DoD) contract for two more years, which at $475 million is the single largest security contract brokered by the DoD. The contract is to provide security services for reconstruction projects in Iraq conducted by mostly American companies.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;A US government audit by the Office of the Special Inspector General for Iraq Reconstruction, released exactly two years before Brigadier Ellery’s &lt;span class=&quot;caps&quot;&gt;SOAS&lt;/span&gt; presentation, concluded that &lt;span class=&quot;caps&quot;&gt;AEGIS&lt;/span&gt; could not prove it had properly trained or vetted several armed Iraqi employees. For a random sample of 20 armed guards, no training documentation was found for 14 of them. For 125 other employees, &lt;span class=&quot;caps&quot;&gt;AEGIS&lt;/span&gt; reportedly failed to document background checks. The auditors concluded that “there is no assurance that Aegis is providing the best possible safety and security for government and reconstruction contractor personnel and facilities.”&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;During his April presentation at &lt;span class=&quot;caps&quot;&gt;SOAS&lt;/span&gt;, &lt;span class=&quot;caps&quot;&gt;AEGIS&lt;/span&gt; director Ellery declared, “Iraq promises a degree of prosperity in the region as it embarks on massive Iraqi-funded reconstruction, a part of which will raise Iraqi’s oil production from 2.5 million bpd today to 3 million by next year and maybe ultimately 6 million barrels per day.” He added, “With a budget of $187 billion over 4 years, Iraq is poised to have a considerable impact on the economies of countries whose technologies can fill the skills gap left by the latter years of Saddam Hussein’s regime.”&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;During the UN sanctions regime imposed primarily by the US and Britain, Iraq was banned from importing thousands of household goods, including food, medicines, clothes and books, from 1991 to 2003, purportedly to prevent Saddam from developing weapons of mass destruction. It is now widely recognized that the sanctions led to massive socio-economic deprivation, the break-down of civilian infrastructure, large-scale unemployment, and de-industrialisation, resulting in the deaths of up to 1.8 million Iraqis, half of whom were children. The humanitarian crisis led United Nations officials such as Dennis Halliday, former UN Assistant Secretary-General, and Hans von Sponeck, former Humanitarian Coordinator in Iraq, to resign in protest.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Today, those profiting most from reconstruction projects in Iraq are not Iraqis, but private contractors based primarily in the United States and Britain, according to a new report out last month by Stuart Bowen Jr, incumbent Special Inspector General for Iraq Reconstruction. The Bowen Report found that at least 855 contracts valued at billions of dollars were cancelled before completion. Another 112 agreements were cancelled because of poor performance, while still more projects recorded as completed never happened. In one case, a $50 million children’s hospital in Basra is listed as completed although the contract was stopped when only 35 percent of the work was finished.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;During Brigadier Ellery’s tenure at the Coalition Provisional Authority (&lt;span class=&quot;caps&quot;&gt;CPA&lt;/span&gt;) in Baghdad, under Paul Bremer’s leadership $8.8 billion of reconstruction funds were unaccounted for, and a further $3.4 billion was re-directed for “security” purposes. A UN body to audit the Development Fund for Iraq (&lt;span class=&quot;caps&quot;&gt;DFI&lt;/span&gt;), by which the &lt;span class=&quot;caps&quot;&gt;CPA&lt;/span&gt; Programme Review Board managed Iraqi oil revenues until June 2004, found “gross irregularities by &lt;span class=&quot;caps&quot;&gt;CPA&lt;/span&gt; officials in their management of the &lt;span class=&quot;caps&quot;&gt;DFI&lt;/span&gt;,” and condemned the United States for “lack of transparency” and providing the opportunity for “fraudulent acts.”&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Under American- and British-administered Iraqi reconstruction programmes, Iraqi agriculture has been devastated. In 2004, the Coalition Provision Authority imposed a hundred economic orders designed to open Iraq’s economy to foreign investment, including Order 12 for tax- and tariff-free imports of foreign products. The Order allowed the giant American agribusiness conglomerate Cargill to flood Iraq with hundreds of thousands of tonnes of cheap wheat, undercutting local food prices, and wiping out the livelihoods of Iraqi farmers.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;As an executive director of &lt;span class=&quot;caps&quot;&gt;AEGIS&lt;/span&gt;, one of the most prominent US defence contractors in Iraq, Brigadier Ellery is a personal beneficiary of the privatisation of the Iraqi economy. In the conclusions of his April address, he said, “Iraq has resources aplenty: not just oil, of which there is a prodigious quantity”, but especially “the capacity to rebuild a balanced economy including agriculture &amp;#8211; for which Iraq was a legend.”&lt;br /&gt;
Labels: corruption, energy crisis, iraq war, peak oil, reconstruction, supply crunch&lt;/p&gt;


</description>
 <comments>http://www.ukwatch.net/article/exuk_army_chief_confirms_peak_oil_motive_for_war#comments</comments>
 <category domain="http://www.ukwatch.net/watch_area/foreign_policy">Foreign Policy</category>
 <category domain="http://www.ukwatch.net/watch_area/terror/war">Terror/War</category>
 <category domain="http://www.ukwatch.net/tags/aegis">AEGIS</category>
 <category domain="http://www.ukwatch.net/tags/iraq">iraq</category>
 <category domain="http://www.ukwatch.net/tags/iraqi_reconstruction">Iraqi reconstruction</category>
 <category domain="http://www.ukwatch.net/tags/james_ellery">James Ellery</category>
 <category domain="http://www.ukwatch.net/tags/oil">oil</category>
 <category domain="http://www.ukwatch.net/tags/peak_oil">peak oil</category>
 <category domain="http://www.ukwatch.net/author/nafeez_ahmed">Nafeez Ahmed</category>
 <pubDate>Wed, 18 Jun 2008 17:53:18 +0000</pubDate>
 <dc:creator>eddie</dc:creator>
 <guid isPermaLink="false">6005 at http://www.ukwatch.net</guid>
</item>
<item>
 <title>42 Days: Creeping Internment</title>
 <link>http://www.ukwatch.net/article/42_days_creeping_internment_0</link>
 <description>&lt;p&gt;&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The British state&amp;#8217;s attempt to push through detention without charge for 42 days is a precursor to a plan to impose indefinite internment, targeted disproportionately against Muslims and ethnic minorities.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The current controversy over 42 days is only a sign of things to come. The British state views the House of Commons victory as a stepping-stone on the way to obtaining the power to impose internment, that is, the power to label innocent people people as &amp;#8220;terrorist suspects&amp;#8221;, and subsequently detain them indefinitely without charge. Yet just as the House of Lords is expected to reject the Bill for now, it is equally expected that unelected Prime Minister Gordon Brown will attempt to &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/politics/article4115300.ece&quot;&gt;galvanise the Parliament Act&lt;/a&gt; to force the Bill through.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;One of the most vocal voices in the state campaign for internment is that of Ken Jones, who as head of the Association of Police Chief Officers (&lt;span class=&quot;caps&quot;&gt;APCO&lt;/span&gt;), and former chair of its counter-terrorism committee, insisted last year that there was a need to hold people without charge for &amp;#8220;&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.guardian.co.uk/uk/2007/jul/15/humanrights.terrorism&quot;&gt;as long as it takes&lt;/a&gt;.&amp;#8221; This &amp;#8220;judicially-supervised detention&amp;#8221; is, we were told, essential to counter the increasingly complex, global nature of terror cells.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;This was, however, only an official public admission of police planning that has clearly gone on far longer. The first hint that Scotland Yard was privately pushing for internment came on 8th October 2006. The conservative political commentator Iain Dale revealed that Sir Ian Blair as Metropolitan Police Commissioner told a Reform Club Media Group meeting under Chatham House rules that the British people should &amp;#8220;brace themselves for a truly appalling act of terror&amp;#8221;, following which &amp;#8220;people would be &lt;a href=&quot;http://iaindale.blogspot.com/2006/10/exclusive-sir-ian-blair-says-new.html&quot;&gt;talking quite openly about internment&lt;/a&gt;&amp;#8220;.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Then on the 19th October 2006, Professor Anthony Glees, director of the Brunel Centre for Intelligence &amp;amp; Security Studies at Brunel University, wrote a piece in the &lt;em&gt;Independent&lt;/em&gt;, &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.independent.co.uk/news/education/higher/anthony-glees-internment-should-be-a-policy-option-420602.html&quot;&gt;&amp;#8216;Internment should be a policy option&amp;#8217;&lt;/a&gt;, arguing for the overturning of the European Convention on Human Rights, which he insisted is &amp;#8220;inappropriate for a country at war.&amp;#8221; Advocating that &amp;#8220;We need to think about how we should behave to people who consider us enemies&amp;#8221;, namely Muslim communities, he went on to argue:&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;em&gt;&amp;#8220;Internment in the second world war is called MI5&amp;#8217;s darkest hour, but internment was a very effective way of keeping the country safe from Nazi subversion. People say that the vast majority of those interned were Jews, and they would be the last people to act in a subversive way. In fact research shows that there were some Jews in Britain as agents of the Third Reich. Their families were in the hands of the Gestapo and they were blackmailed. And some say that internment in Northern Ireland made the situation better. Internment needs to be talked about. There shouldn&amp;#8217;t be things that shouldn&amp;#8217;t be considered &amp;#8211; if they can help.&amp;#8221;&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The increasing attempt to legitimise the concept and practice of internment against predominantly Muslim communities adds to the raft of anti-terror legislation which is already systematically discriminatory. It also feeds into the the rampant politicization of intelligence, in which &amp;#8211; as investigative journalist and &lt;em&gt;Spectator&lt;/em&gt; editor Peter Oborne has documented in a paper for the Centre for Policy Studies &amp;#8211; the spectre of terrorism both before and after 7/7 has been &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.cps.org.uk/cpsfile.asp?id=370&quot;&gt;deliberately exaggerrated, and even fabricated, by the British government and police&lt;/a&gt; to legitimize authoritarian measures of social control at home and abroad.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;According to Harmit Atwal of the &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.irr.org.uk/2004/september/ak000004.html&quot;&gt;Institute of Race Relations &lt;/a&gt;in London:&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;em&gt;&amp;#8220;There are two criminal justice systems in Britain today. In the first, under the ordinary rule of law, there is a balance between the rights of the citizen and the rights of the state. But in the second, under the special provisions of anti-terror laws, you can be arrested, questioned and publicly accused of being a threat to civilisation on the thinnest of pretexts, detained without fair trial and go slowly mad in the cells of Belmarsh, Woodhill or the immigration detention centres. The first system applies to white Britons. The second system applies to foreign nationals and, increasingly, British Muslims too.&amp;#8221;&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Hence, the impact of creeping internment will most likely be the further systematic erosion of British national security. According to Des Thomas, a former Senior Detective Superintendent, Senior Investigating Officer (&lt;span class=&quot;caps&quot;&gt;SIO&lt;/span&gt;) and Deputy Head of Hampshire Constabulary &lt;span class=&quot;caps&quot;&gt;CID&lt;/span&gt;, the 7/7 attacks served &amp;#8220;to facilitate the introduction of repressive legislation and oppressive policing resulting in the frightening and alienation of the Muslim community.&amp;#8221; Thomas warned that the tightening of anti-terror powers is thus &amp;#8220;&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.globalcrisis.org.uk/main/PDF/Inside%20the%20Crevice.pdf&quot;&gt;&lt;strong&gt;conducive to allowing insurgents &lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;strong&gt;to establish an area from which they would be free to move, recruit and mount further attacks&lt;/strong&gt;. &lt;strong&gt;Laws of this kind are often impossible to implement and the trying may itself act as a recruiting sergeant for extremist organisations&lt;/strong&gt;.&amp;#8221; Increasingly harsh anti-terror laws make &amp;#8220;it easier for Muslim extremists to convince potential recruits&amp;#8221; exposing the &amp;#8220;short-sighted and repressive nature of the state response.&amp;#8221; [p. 9]&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Thomas&amp;#8217; concerns are backed by the evidence &amp;#8211; evidence that the British state, MPs and mainstream media continue to ignore. A study by the &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.democraticaudit.com/download/breaking-news/Terrorism-Final.pdf&quot;&gt;Democratic Audit at the University of Essex&lt;/a&gt; that:&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;em&gt;&amp;#8220;The key to successfully combating terrorism lies in winning the trust and cooperation of the Muslim communities in the UK. However, the government&amp;#8217;s counter terrorism legislation and rhetorical stance are between them creating serious losses in human rights and criminal justice protections; loosening the fabric of justice and civil liberties in the UK&amp;#8230; harming community relations&amp;#8230; having a disproportionate effect on the Muslim communities&amp;#8230; prejudicing the ability of the government and security forces to gain the very trust and cooperation from individuals in those communities that they require to combat terrorism. The impact of the legislation and its implementation has been self-defeating as well as harmful.&amp;#8221;&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Similarly, even Demos, a think-tank of which Brown&amp;#8217;s predecessor Blair has been particularly fond, backs up these findings in a study setting out a six-point strategy for countering extremism by working within and alongside Muslim communities. The report finds that the potential radicalisation of younger generations of British Muslims is precisely the danger that increasing indiscriminate arrests under new anti-terror powers &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.demos.co.uk/publications/bringingithome&quot;&gt;will exacerbate&lt;/a&gt;. &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Inevitably, casting the &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.independent.co.uk/opinion/commentators/nafeez-ahmed-widening-the-net-lets-the-bombers-slip-through-455417.html&quot;&gt;net so wide &lt;/a&gt;that innocent people are inevitably drawn into new police 42 day internment-regimes will culminate in increasing discontent, frustration, and anger at the injustice of the legal system. It will also generate a massive burden in manpower, cost and bureaucracy on a national security system which is already riddled with holes, to process thousands of cases the vast majority of which will be dead leads.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Given that the Director of Public Prosecutions, Sir Kevin Macdonald, had already confirmed that an extension of detention time without charge is simply unnecessary (&amp;#8221;&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.opendemocracy.net/article/our_kingdom/an-abundance-of-caution?1&quot;&gt;Our experience has been that 28 days has suited us quite nicely&lt;/a&gt;&amp;#8220;), the underlying state rationale behind creeping internment has neither been explained, nor justified.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;div style=&quot;clear:both; padding-bottom:0.25em&quot;&gt;&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;


</description>
 <comments>http://www.ukwatch.net/article/42_days_creeping_internment_0#comments</comments>
 <category domain="http://www.ukwatch.net/watch_area/civil_liberties">Civil Liberties</category>
 <category domain="http://www.ukwatch.net/watch_area/terror/war">Terror/War</category>
 <category domain="http://www.ukwatch.net/tags/42_days_detention">42 days detention</category>
 <category domain="http://www.ukwatch.net/tags/internment">internment</category>
 <category domain="http://www.ukwatch.net/tags/terror_suspects">terror suspects</category>
 <category domain="http://www.ukwatch.net/author/nafeez_ahmed">Nafeez Ahmed</category>
 <pubDate>Sun, 15 Jun 2008 18:59:04 +0000</pubDate>
 <dc:creator>eddie</dc:creator>
 <guid isPermaLink="false">5988 at http://www.ukwatch.net</guid>
</item>
<item>
 <title>The Price of Business-as-Usual </title>
 <link>http://www.ukwatch.net/article/the_price_of_businessasusual</link>
 <description>&lt;p&gt;Christian Aid is &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/fromthefield/218275/121309157467.htm&quot;&gt;angry&lt;/a&gt;. The British government has just &amp;#8220;eviscerated&amp;#8221; the Climate Change Bill, claimed the agency.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The &lt;em&gt;Guardian&lt;/em&gt;, in contrast, appears &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2008/jun/10/climatechange.carbonemissions&quot;&gt;relatively delighted&lt;/a&gt;. They simply cut and pasted a news agency report from the Press Association, headlined &amp;#8220;UK bill to set carbon targets clears first hurdle.&amp;#8221;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;For some reason, they don&amp;#8217;t seem very bothered about analysing the details. Yes, they&amp;#8217;ve got a nice little debate going, with critics like ex-environment minister Michael Meacher head-to-head against current minister Phil Woolas, plus some added criticisms from the Lib Dems, the Tories officially congratulating Labour, not to mention several Tory backbenchers opposing the whole idea of action to prevent dangerous climate change. But there&amp;#8217;s a very important point, mentioned, alluded to, but not really elaborated on, a point that at this time the public sorely needs to understand.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;I haven&amp;#8217;t seen any other reporting on what the government has just done with this Bill, and would be interested to see how the Bill is portrayed (if it &lt;em&gt;is&lt;/em&gt; portrayed beyond the above meagre pickings).&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;But Christian Aid puts it very clearly. What matters, is not so much what is being proposed, but what the govt is studiously avoiding:&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;em&gt;&amp;#8220;Christian Aid said it was deeply disappointed at the Government&amp;#8217;s refusal, revealed yesterday by Phil Woolas MP, Minister of State for the Environment at the start of the Bill&amp;#8217;s second reading in Parliament, to include a target for &lt;strong&gt;cutting UK carbon emissions of 80 percent over 1990 levels by 2050.&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;It said the removal from the Bill of an undertaking to ensure that UK emissions of greenhouse gases do not exceed the level necessary to&lt;strong&gt; limit global temperature rises to not more than 2C&lt;/strong&gt; above pre industrial levels would fatally undermine the credibility of the UK&amp;#8217;s climate change policies. &lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;...&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;em&gt;&amp;#8216;Only carbon emission cuts of 80% and above will keep global temperatures below 2oC. &lt;strong&gt;That target is essential as beyond 2C the effects of climate change such as drought, floods and disease will become rampant&lt;/strong&gt;.&amp;#8217; &amp;#8220;&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Decisions, decisions. So the govt has decided that there&amp;#8217;s no need to worry about the two degree limit (which is bad enough).&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;In fact, and we need to be very clear on this, at current rates of increase of emissions, where are we likely to be over the coming decades? Well, the &lt;em&gt;Guardian&lt;/em&gt; isn&amp;#8217;t exactly unfamiliar with this, given &lt;a href=&quot;http://books.guardian.co.uk/departments/scienceandnature/story/0,,2063401,00.html&quot;&gt;their summary of Mark Lynas&amp;#8217; book &lt;em&gt;Six Degrees&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/a&gt;, which outlines the findings of thousands of peer-reviewed scientific papers:&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;em&gt;&amp;#8220;The impacts of two degrees warming are bad enough, but far worse is in store if emissions continue to rise. Most importantly, 3C may be the &amp;#8216;tipping point&amp;#8217; where global warming could run out of control, leaving us powerless to intervene as planetary temperatures soar. The centre of this predicted disaster is the Amazon, where the tropical rainforest, which today extends over millions of square kilometres, would burn down in a firestorm of epic proportions. &lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;&amp;#8220;Computer model projections show worsening droughts making Amazonian trees, which have no evolved resistance to fire, much more susceptible to burning. Once this drying trend passes a critical threshold, any spark could light the firestorm which destroys almost the entire rainforest ecosystem. Once the trees have gone, desert will appear and the carbon released by the forests&amp;#8217; burning will be joined by still more from the world&amp;#8217;s soils. This could boost global temperatures by a further 1.5ºC &amp;#8211; tipping us straight into the four-degree world. &lt;/em&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;em&gt;&amp;#8220;Three degrees alone would see increasing areas of the planet being rendered essentially uninhabitable by drought and heat. In southern Africa, a huge expanse centred on Botswana could see a remobilisation of old sand dunes, much as is projected to happen earlier in the US west. This would wipe out agriculture and drive tens of millions of climate refugees out of the area. The same situation could also occur in Australia, where most of the continent will now fall outside the belts of regular rainfall. &lt;/em&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;em&gt;&amp;#8220;With extreme weather continuing to bite &amp;#8211; hurricanes may increase in power by half a category above today&amp;#8217;s top-level Category Five &amp;#8211; world food supplies will be critically endangered. This could mean hundreds of millions &amp;#8211; or even billions &amp;#8211; of refugees moving out from areas of famine and drought in the sub-tropics towards the mid-latitudes. In Pakistan, for example, food supplies will crash as the waters of the Indus decline to a trickle because of the melting of the Karakoram glaciers that form the river&amp;#8217;s source. Conflicts may erupt with neighbouring India over water use from dams on Indus tributaries that cross the border. &lt;/em&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;em&gt;&amp;#8220;In northern Europe and the UK, summer drought will alternate with extreme winter flooding as torrential rainstorms sweep in from the Atlantic &amp;#8211; perhaps bringing storm surge flooding to vulnerable low-lying coastlines as sea levels continue to rise. Those areas still able to grow crops and feed themselves, however, may become some of the most valuable real estate on the planet, besieged by millions of climate refugees from the south.&amp;#8221;&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Yet after all the fanfare and jumping around and big words and loud promises, when all the racket about being Green has died down, the govt reneges on its own promises. What a surprise. Not.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Given that Brown did the same last year when he &amp;#8220;U-turned&amp;#8221; on pledges to follow EU targets to generate 20 per cent of Europe&amp;#8217;s energy from renewable sources, as also noted by the &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2007/oct/23/renewableenergy.energy&quot;&gt;&lt;em&gt;Guardian&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/a&gt;, to its credit (and even the &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.telegraph.co.uk/earth/main.jhtml?xml=/earth/2007/10/23/eaeu123.xml&quot;&gt;&lt;em&gt;Telegraph&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/a&gt;).&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Why?&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Because, according to both papers, the Business Secretary John Hutton was worried about pissing off the Ministry of Defence, an &amp;#8220;excessive&amp;#8221; cost of about £4billion of investment (we won&amp;#8217;t worry about the jobs that could be created in the process, nor the &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/us_and_americas/article3587063.ece&quot;&gt;£205 billion of taxpayers money &lt;/a&gt;the govt has poured unchecked and unaccounted for into Iraq up to 2007, probably subsidising &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2005/jul/07/iraq.features11&quot;&gt;corrupt defence contractors&lt;/a&gt;, that&amp;#8217;s £6.5 billion for this year alone), as well as conflicting with the petrol-friendly &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.wharton.universia.net/index.cfm?fa=viewfeature&amp;amp;id=1205&amp;amp;language=english&quot;&gt;nuclear power lobby&lt;/a&gt;.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;This Bill is a fraud.&lt;/p&gt;


</description>
 <comments>http://www.ukwatch.net/article/the_price_of_businessasusual#comments</comments>
 <category domain="http://www.ukwatch.net/watch_area/ecology/science">Ecology/Science</category>
 <category domain="http://www.ukwatch.net/watch_area/politics">Politics</category>
 <category domain="http://www.ukwatch.net/taxonomy/term/2941">Climate Change Bill</category>
 <category domain="http://www.ukwatch.net/tags/global_warming">global warming</category>
 <category domain="http://www.ukwatch.net/author/nafeez_ahmed">Nafeez Ahmed</category>
 <pubDate>Tue, 10 Jun 2008 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
 <dc:creator>Ellie Keen</dc:creator>
 <guid isPermaLink="false">5973 at http://www.ukwatch.net</guid>
</item>
<item>
 <title>Terror Plot - Lies and Deceit</title>
 <link>http://www.ukwatch.net/article/terror_plot_-_lies_and_deceit</link>
 <description>&lt;p&gt;Lieutenant-Colonel (ret.) Nigel Wylde, a former senior British Army Intelligence Officer, has suggested that the police and government story about the &amp;#8220;terror plot&amp;#8221; revealed on 10th August was part of a &amp;#8220;pattern of lies and deceit.&amp;#8221; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;British and American government officials have described the operation which resulting in the arrest of 24 mostly British Muslim suspects, as a resounding success. Thirteen of the suspects have been charged, and two released without charges. &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;According to security sources, the terror suspects were planning to board up to ten civilian airliners and detonate highly volatile liquid explosives on the planes in a spectacular terrorist operation. The liquid explosives &amp;#8212; either &lt;span class=&quot;caps&quot;&gt;TATP&lt;/span&gt; (Triacetone Triperoxide), &lt;span class=&quot;caps&quot;&gt;DADP&lt;/span&gt; (diacetone diperoxide) or the less sensitive &lt;span class=&quot;caps&quot;&gt;HMTD&lt;/span&gt; (hexamethylene triperoxide diamine) &amp;#8212; were reportedly to be made on board the planes by mixing sports drinks with a peroxide-based household gel and then be detonated using an MP3 player or mobile phone. &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;But Lt. Col. Wylde, who was awarded the Queen&amp;#8217;s Gallantry Medal for his command of the Belfast Explosive Ordnance Disposal Unit in 1974, described this scenario as a &amp;#8220;fiction.&amp;#8221; Creating liquid explosives is a &amp;#8220;highly dangerous and sophisticated task,&amp;#8221; he states, one that requires not only significant chemical expertise but also appropriate equipment. &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Terror plot scenario &amp;#8220;untenable&amp;#8221;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&amp;#8220;The idea that these people could sit in the plane toilet and simply mix together these normal household fluids to create a high explosive capable of blowing up the entire aircraft is untenable,&amp;#8221; said Lt. Col. Wylde, who was trained as an ammunition technical officer responsible for terrorist bomb disposal at the Royal Army Ordnance Corps in Sandhurst. &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;After working as a bomb defuser in Northern Ireland, Lt. Col. Wylde became a senior officer in British Army Intelligence in 1977. During the Cold War, he collected intelligence as part of an undercover East German &amp;#8220;liaison unit,&amp;#8221; then went on to work in the Ministry of Defense to review its communications systems. &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&amp;#8220;So who came up with the idea that a bomb could be made on board? Not Al Qaeda for sure. It would not work. Bin Laden is interested in success not deterrence by failure,&amp;#8221; Wylde stated.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&amp;#8220;This story has been blown out of all proportion. The liquids would need to be carefully distilled at freezing temperatures to extract the required chemicals, which are very difficult to obtain in the purities needed.&amp;#8221; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Once the fluids have been extracted, the process of mixing them produces significant amounts of heat and vile fumes. &amp;#8220;The resulting liquid then needs some hours at room temperature for the white crystals that are the explosive to develop.&amp;#8221; The whole process, which can take between 12 and 36 hours, is &amp;#8220;very dangerous, even in a lab, and can lead to premature detonation,&amp;#8221; said Lt. Col. Wylde. &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;If there was a conspiracy, he added, &amp;#8220;it did not involve manufacturing the explosives in the loo,&amp;#8221; as this simply &amp;#8220;could not have worked.&amp;#8221; The process would be quickly and easily detected. The fumes of the chemicals in the toilet &amp;#8220;would be smelt by anybody in the area.&amp;#8221; They would also inevitably &amp;#8220;cause the alarms in the toilet and in the air change system in the aircraft to be triggered. The pilot has the ability to dump all the air from an aircraft as a fire-fighting measure, leaving people to use oxygen masks. All this means the planned attack would be detected long before the queues outside the loo had grown to enormous lengths.&amp;#8221; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Government silent on detonators&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Even if it was possible for the explosive to have been made on the aircraft, a detonator, probably made from &lt;span class=&quot;caps&quot;&gt;TATP&lt;/span&gt;, would be needed to set it off. &amp;#8220;It is very dangerous and risky to the individual,&amp;#8221; Wylde said. &amp;#8220;As the quantity involved would be small this would injure the would-be suicide bomber but not endanger the aircraft, thus defeating the object of bringing down an aircraft.&amp;#8221;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Despite the implausibility of this scenario, it has been used to justify wide-ranging new security measures that threaten to permanently curtail civil liberties and to suspend sections of the United Kingdom&amp;#8217;s Human Rights Act of 1998. &amp;#8220;Why were the public delicately informed of an alleged conspiracy which the authorities knew, or should have known, could not have worked?&amp;#8221; asked Lt. Col. Wylde. &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&amp;#8220;This is not a new problem,&amp;#8221; he added, noting that &amp;#8216;shoe-bomber&amp;#8217; Richard Reid had attempted to use this type of explosive on a plane in December 2001. &amp;#8220;If this threat is real, what has been done to develop explosive test kits capable of detecting peroxide based explosives?&amp;#8221; asked Wylde. &amp;#8220;These are the real issues about protecting the public that have not been publicised. Instead we are going to get demands for more internment without trial.&amp;#8221; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Lt. Col. Wylde also raised questions about the criminal investigation into the 7th July terrorist attacks in London last year. He noted that police and government sources have maintained &amp;#8220;total silence&amp;#8221; about the detonation devices used in the bombs on the London Underground and the bus at Tavistock Square. &amp;#8220;Whatever the nature of the primary explosive materials, even if it was home-made &lt;span class=&quot;caps&quot;&gt;TATP&lt;/span&gt;, the detonator that must be used to trigger an explosion is an extremely dangerous device to make, requiring a high level of expertise that cannot be simply self-taught or picked-up over the internet,&amp;#8221; Wylde stated. &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The government&amp;#8217;s silence on the detonation device used in the attacks is &amp;#8220;disturbing,&amp;#8221; he said, as the creation of the devices requires the involvement of trained explosives experts. Wylde speculated that such individuals would have to be present either inside the country or outside, perhaps in Eastern Europe, where they would be active participants in an international supply-chain to UK operatives. &amp;#8220;In either case, we are talking about something far more dangerous than home-grown radicals here.&amp;#8221;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Spy slams police inaction against terrorists&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Wylde&amp;#8217;s concerns are echoed by others familiar with British terrorism-related intelligence operations, such as Glen Jenvey, who is profiled in the bestselling book, The Terror Tracker, by terrorism investigator Neil Doyle. Jenvey worked for several military attaches monitoring terrorist groups in London and obtained crucial video and surveillance evidence used by British police to arrest radical cleric Abu Hamza al-Masri, who was convicted last February. &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&amp;#8220;I&amp;#8217;ve been closely monitoring the internet communications of extremist Muslim groups inside the UK both before and after 7/7, and they are intimately interconnected,&amp;#8221; said Jenvey, who is affiliated with the London-based terror watch group &lt;span class=&quot;caps&quot;&gt;VIGIL&lt;/span&gt;. &amp;#8220;We&amp;#8217;ve identified a coordinated leadership of at least 20 and up to 60 people, extremist preachers with blatant international al-Qaeda terrorist connections.&amp;#8221; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Jenvey noted that even though they are known to the authorities and are monitored while breaking the law with impunity, particularly in their private sermons, the police have failed to take appropriate action against them. &amp;#8220;The police don&amp;#8217;t need to round up and detain thousands of British Muslims. If they only arrested, charged and prosecuted these 20 key terrorist leaders, they will have a struck a fatal blow against the epicentres of al-Qaeda extremism in the UK. But they&amp;#8217;re sitting on this.&amp;#8221; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Jenvey points to Omar Bakri Mohammed, a colleague of convicted terrorist Abu Hamza who headed the now-banned Islamist group al-Muhajiroun in the United Kingdom. Despite being exiled to Lebanon, Omar Bakri continues to communicate with UK-based extremist groups which are believed to be successors of al-Muhajiroun operating under new names, including the Saved Sect and al-Ghurabaa. British security sources have confirmed that the 7/7 bombers were associates of Omar Bakri&amp;#8217;s network, and Bakri himself publicly boasted a year before the London bombings that an al-Qaeda cell in London was planning a terrorist strike. &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;An investigation by the counterterrorism unit in the New York Police Department found that Bakri&amp;#8217;s al-Muhajiroun had formed 81 front groups and support networks in six countries, most of them based in London, the home counties bordering London, the Midlands, Lancashire and West Yorkshire. By the time Home Secretary Dr. John Reid moved in July to proscribe the latest incarnation of al-Muhajiroun, al-Ghurabaa, this sprawling interconnected network was fully functioning and continues to operate namelessly, despite proscription. Bakri&amp;#8217;s network has recently adopted the name &amp;#8220;Al Sabiqoon Al-Awwaloon&amp;#8221;. &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Jenvey complains that, despite the arrest in early September of radical cleric Abu Abdullah, convicted terrorist Abu Hamza&amp;#8217;s successor at the Finsbury Park Mosque, a &amp;#8220;hardcore group of 20 or more extremists operating around Omar Bakri&amp;#8221; remains at large. &amp;#8220;The police have every reason to act, and they know who these people are. Their failure to do so has only exacerbated unjustified demonization of Muslims. These extremists are not Muslims in any meaningful sense, they are simply terrorists obsessed with violence.&amp;#8221; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;MI5, MI6 recruiting extremists?&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Even the arrest of Abu Abdullah only occurred after his support for terrorism was widely reported in the British and American media in late August. On 23rd August, he justified the killing of Westerners and told &lt;span class=&quot;caps&quot;&gt;CNN&lt;/span&gt; correspondent Dan Rivers that Tony Blair is a &amp;#8220;legitimate target&amp;#8221; of jihad. The Sunday Times remarked that he &amp;#8220;is apparently being allowed to operate unchecked by the authorities five months after a law was passed making it a criminal offence to glorify terrorism.&amp;#8221; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Torture may have been used to extract evidence for the weekend police raids which resulted in the arrest of 14 British Muslims, including Abdullah. Sources confirm that information came from detainees at Camp X-Ray in Guantanamo, where interrogation techniques classified as torture under international law are routinely used.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The reluctance to take decisive action against the leadership of the extremist network in the UK has a long history. According to John Loftus, a former Justice Department prosecutor, Omar Bakri and Abu Hamza, as well as the suspected mastermind of the London bombings Haroon Aswat, were all recruited by MI6 in the mid-1990s to draft up British Muslims to fight in Kosovo. American and French security sources corroborate the revelation. The MI6 connection raises questions about Bakri&amp;#8217;s relationship with British authorities today. Exiled to Lebanon and outside British jurisdiction, he is effectively immune to prosecution.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Other London-based radical clerics with terrorist connections also had a relationship to the security services. Abu Qatada, described as al-Qaeda&amp;#8217;s European ambassador, was, according to French sources a long-time MI5 informant. Pakistani government insiders similarly believe that Ahmed Omar Sheikh Saeed, the British al-Qaeda finance chief from Forest Gate, not only worked with the &lt;span class=&quot;caps&quot;&gt;ISI&lt;/span&gt;, Pakistani&amp;#8217;s military intelligence service, but was also recruited by the &lt;span class=&quot;caps&quot;&gt;CIA&lt;/span&gt; as an informant. Saeed, who reportedly wired several hundred thousand dollars to alleged chief 9/11 hijacker Mohamed Atta, is currently in Pakistani custody for the murder of Wall Street Journal journalist Daniel Pearl. &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Omar Bakri regularly uses the internet to communicate from Lebanon with his followers in Britain. On Sunday evening, 3rd September, Omar Bakri told participants in an online chat forum that he had been pulled in by the Lebanese authorities at the request of the US and British governments and questioned in relation to the &amp;#8220;terror plot&amp;#8221;. Although he denied involvement in the plot, he claimed that some of the 24 British Muslim suspects were known to him. When asked to confirm or deny whether Bakri had indeed been arrested at the request of the British, the Foreign Office had no comment. Bakri said that he was regularly questioned by Lebanese officials on behalf of the British government.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The official reluctance to act against Bakri and his active associates in the UK does not match the government&amp;#8217;s willingness to act pre-emptively to foil a plot of doubtful reality. Official reluctance to acknowledge the significance of the detonators used in the 7/7 terrorist operation suggests that the threat is far more sophisticated than authorities have admitted, and that emphasis on home-grown amateurs is mistaken. Lt. Col. Wylde&amp;#8217;s observations would seem to indicate that the terror-threat narrative is being manipulated for reasons of political expediency.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;__Acknowledgements: Thanks to Graham Ennis, Nigel Wylde and Glen Jenvey for their research assistance and contribution to this story. They bear no responsibility for any errors therein. An abridged version of this story will be printed in The Muslim News, UK on 29th September 2006.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Nafeez Mosaddeq Ahmed is the author of The London Bombings: An Independent Inquiry (Duckworth, £9:99) and The War on Truth: 9/11, Disinformation and the Anatomy of Terrorism (Arris, £12:99). He testified in the US Congress about his research on international terrorism in July 2005. He teaches International Relations at the University of Sussex, Brighton. __&lt;/p&gt;


</description>
 <category domain="http://www.ukwatch.net/watch_area/terror/war">Terror/War</category>
 <category domain="http://www.ukwatch.net/author/nafeez_ahmed">Nafeez Ahmed</category>
 <pubDate>Sat, 23 Sep 2006 18:26:41 +0000</pubDate>
 <dc:creator>Tim Holmes</dc:creator>
 <guid isPermaLink="false">3225 at http://www.ukwatch.net</guid>
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